Linfield vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
2º
1º
37
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 55 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
46%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GLE
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 2
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 3
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
LAR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |