Linfield vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
LIN
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
LIN
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
30%
26%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 4
NEY
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 2
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |