Linfield vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 2
CLI
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 0
WAR
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
LIN
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
POR
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
POR
14%
21%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
POR
5 - 5
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |