Linfield vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
2º
17
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
LIN
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
LIN
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
COL
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
8 - 2
NEW
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |