Linfield vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 0
LIN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 4
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |