Linfield vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
2º
39
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
QUB
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
6 - 1
NEW
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
6 - 0
LOU
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 4
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 2
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 1
LOU
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |