Linfield vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
2º
80
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIN
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
5 - 1
LOU
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
3 - 5
LAR
14%
19%
67%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
LAR
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
LAR
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |