Linfield vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 1
WAR
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 0
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 0
GLE
88%
10%
2%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 0
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
GLE
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
GLE
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 3
AUN
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 0
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |