Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 1
CRU
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIN
14%
20%
67%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
DON
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 1
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
COL
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |