Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
7 - 1
BAL
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
63%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 1
LAR
63%
20%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |