Linfield vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 1
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
COA
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 3
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
5 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
GLE
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
DON
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
DON
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |