Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Linfield vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1966 |
LIN
1 - 1
VIF
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
VIF
1 - 4
LIN
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
LIN
6 - 1
ABO
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
ABO
3 - 3
LIN
29%
21%
50%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
LIN
2 - 0
FEN
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
CSK
5 - 1
DOB
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 1
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
FKM
1 - 2
CSK
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1966 |
GÓR
3 - 0
CSK
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
CSK
0 - 0
LPL
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |