Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIN
52%
22%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
FOL
42%
23%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
BBL
0 - 0
LIN
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
LIN
4 - 0
BBL
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
ZAL
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CRU
3 - 1
HAR
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |