Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUN
77%
14%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 2
LIN
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 3
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CRU
6 - 1
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |