Linfield vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
66
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 6
LIN
7%
19%
75%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 6
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CLI
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |