Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
2º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
20%
25%
56%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 2
GLE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
POG
3 - 2
LIN
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
9 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
11%
21%
69%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |