Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
CLI
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIN
13%
18%
69%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 4
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |