Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
5 - 0
WAR
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
CLI
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 1
LAR
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRU
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 5
GLE
18%
25%
58%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CLI
23%
26%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
COL
18%
24%
57%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |