Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
LIN
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 4
LIN
41%
24%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DUN
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |