RB Linense vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
15º
7º
8
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
8 | 69 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 67 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 45 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 40 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 36 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 33 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 42.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
BAL
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
ANT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
XER
2 - 0
BAL
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
CEU
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 5
SAN
8%
17%
76%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |