RB Linense vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
15º
7º
4
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 69 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 67 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 59 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 45 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 40 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 36 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 33 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 39% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
BAL
22%
28%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 1
BAL
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
ANT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
XER
2 - 0
BAL
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DBN
2 - 1
AGU
35%
29%
36%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
DBN
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DBN
3 - 3
CAD
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
DBN
50%
26%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DBN
2 - 1
CDB
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |