Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 1-2
RB Linense vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAD
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
AGU
0 - 2
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
BAL
2 - 1
AFC
89%
8%
2%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
REC
2 - 2
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
BAL
0 - 0
AMA
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
PUL
0 - 0
PEG
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CAR
0 - 1
PUL
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
PUL
7 - 0
CDT
94%
5%
1%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
AMC
1 - 2
PUL
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
PUL
2 - 0
CDB
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |