Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
RB Linense vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PUE
3 - 2
BAL
66%
23%
11%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
BAL
1 - 0
RGR
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
POR
2 - 2
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
AGD
0 - 1
BAL
60%
25%
15%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALM
44%
29%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AGD
2 - 0
RJA
59%
26%
15%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
SDM
1 - 0
AGD
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
ALG
0 - 1
AGD
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
AGD
0 - 1
BAL
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
CFC
3 - 2
AGD
77%
17%
7%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |