Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
RB Linense vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAL
59%
24%
18%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
AGD
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BAL
2 - 1
SEV
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ELD
1 - 1
BAL
51%
27%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
BAL
3 - 0
ELC
44%
28%
29%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
POR
1 - 1
AGD
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
AGD
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
AGD
3 - 1
MEL
65%
22%
14%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
CDB
1 - 0
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
AGD
4 - 2
OLI
75%
16%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |