Linense CA vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
VOT
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 1
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PRI
2 - 0
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 0
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
COM
2 - 3
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
VOT
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAT
4 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |