Linense CA vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
LIN
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
LIN
90%
8%
3%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 3
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COM
3 - 4
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
LIN
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 0
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |