Lincoln Red Imps vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
1º
1º
32
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
LRI
4 - 1
GLA
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LYN
1 - 4
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
LRI
3 - 2
CEU
41%
21%
39%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 5
LRI
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
1 - 3
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JOS
2 - 0
CEU
39%
23%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JOS
1 - 3
MAG
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 2
JOS
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
COL
1 - 4
JOS
19%
22%
60%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
3 - 0
MON
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |