Lincoln Red Imps vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
GIB
1 - 5
LRI
14%
20%
66%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LRI
5 - 2
GLA
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
LAG
3 - 5
LRI
2%
11%
87%
|
77 | 11 | 66 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LRI
3 - 1
GIB
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LRI
4 - 0
SHA
94%
5%
1%
|
76 | 12 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
JOS
4 - 2
GIB
92%
7%
1%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COC
0 - 3
JOS
2%
10%
88%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
JOS
3 - 3
SHA
94%
5%
1%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
GUR
0 - 1
JOS
1%
10%
89%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
NEU
6 - 0
JOS
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |