Lincoln Red Imps vs FCB Magpies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
25
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
CEU
0 - 1
LRI
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
6 - 0
LIO
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
4 - 1
GLA
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FCB Magpies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
LIO
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COL
0 - 4
MAG
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 2
MAG
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAG
8%
12%
80%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |