Lincoln Red Imps vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
11
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
4 - 1
GLA
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LYN
1 - 2
LRI
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
10 - 0
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
5 - 1
COL
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIO
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
LYN
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 1
LIO
52%
21%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |