Lincoln Red Imps vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
11
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
4 - 1
GLA
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LYN
1 - 2
LRI
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
10 - 0
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
5 - 1
COL
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIO
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
LYN
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 1
LIO
52%
21%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |