Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Lincoln Red Imps vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
LRI
30%
22%
48%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 1
LRI
40%
23%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
LRI
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
LRI
5 - 1
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LRI
4 - 0
EUR
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
LRI
30%
22%
48%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SLI
1 - 3
HAM
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
HIB
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
HAM
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 1
SLU
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |