Lincoln Red Imps vs Gibraltar United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 0
LRI
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LRI
2 - 0
GIB
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
LRI
3 - 2
GIB
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
GLA
2 - 3
LRI
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
LRI
2 - 0
ROW
93%
6%
1%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
Matches
Gibraltar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
JOS
3 - 2
GIB
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GIB
1 - 0
MUR
93%
6%
1%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
GLA
0 - 1
GIB
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
GIB
0 - 0
MOS
93%
6%
1%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LRI
2 - 0
GIB
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |