Lincoln Red Imps vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CEU
1 - 0
LRI
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LRI
7 - 0
GLA
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GIB
0 - 2
LRI
16%
21%
63%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LRI
5 - 0
LYN
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
LRI
29%
22%
49%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -4 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EUR
2 - 1
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 1
LIO
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 1
EUR
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 3
GLA
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |