FA Trophy Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Lincoln City vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 1
LIN
14%
20%
67%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ARS
5 - 0
LIN
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 4
LIN
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ALD
0 - 0
LIN
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
YOR
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 1
LIN
14%
20%
67%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 2
YOR
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
YOR
3 - 1
EAS
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
YOR
77%
16%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
YOR
1 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |