Lincoln City vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
DAR
1 - 1
LIN
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 0
STO
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
LIN
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 3
SWI
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 1
NOT
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 0
WRE
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 0
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BRO
0 - 1
WRE
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MKD
2 - 1
WRE
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |