Lincoln City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DOV
1 - 2
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 2
WOK
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
CHE
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
DOV
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 1
WEL
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NUN
1 - 0
WEL
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ALD
2 - 1
WEL
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 2
WEL
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |