FA Cup 1/128
Global 4-3
Lincoln City vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 3
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
LIN
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
LIN
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
LUT
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
WAL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 0
WAL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 2
CRE
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
STF
1 - 0
WAL
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 2
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |