Lincoln City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 2
POS
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIN
19%
24%
56%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 2
NOT
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
LIN
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
STE
0 - 1
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 3
CRE
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
COV
3 - 1
SWI
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SWI
27%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |