League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Lincoln City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 0
AFC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POS
3 - 3
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
STF
0 - 1
LIN
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
HUL
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOR
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 3
SUN
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 1
BPO
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 3
STA
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
HUL
2 - 2
SUN
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |