Lincoln City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
67.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
BUR
1 - 1
LIN
54%
23%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
WYC
4 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
LIN
0 - 0
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
YOR
2 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
SUN
2 - 0
CRE
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
TRA
1 - 0
SUN
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
BIR
0 - 0
SUN
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
SUN
2 - 0
CRY
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
SUN
2 - 0
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |