Lincoln City vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
LIN
0 - 1
OXF
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LIN
1 - 1
GUL
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BOU
0 - 1
LIN
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
CAM
0 - 0
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
1 - 0
YOR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
WYC
1 - 0
STO
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
STO
2 - 3
TRA
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LUT
1 - 1
STO
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
STO
2 - 1
HUR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
STO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |