Lincoln City vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIN
43%
26%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
STF
1 - 2
LIN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 2
MAN
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 0
DAG
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 3
ROT
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ROC
0 - 2
POS
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 4
ROC
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MKD
0 - 1
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 4
ROC
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
WYC
0 - 1
ROC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |