Lincoln City vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 0
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 5
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 2
BCF
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
BOS
1 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 1
ROC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
DAR
0 - 5
ROC
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 1
STF
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 2
ROC
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |