Lincoln City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
GRI
2 - 4
LIN
44%
27%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 1
BRO
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
KID
2 - 1
LIN
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
LIN
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
OXF
3 - 2
BRO
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
KID
1 - 3
OXF
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
OXF
2 - 1
YEO
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
DAR
1 - 1
OXF
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 0
OXF
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |