Lincoln City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 2
MOR
47%
24%
28%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
1 - 1
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 1
LIN
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 2
CRA
65%
19%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 2
WRE
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIL
1 - 2
NOT
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 4
MAN
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |