Lincoln City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2006 |
GRI
2 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 1
GRI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 1
ROC
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
STF
0 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 1
LEY
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
BCF
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 0
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
ROC
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CUM
2 - 1
NOT
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |