Lincoln City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 3
LIN
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
GUL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
STO
2 - 3
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 0
BRO
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
POS
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 2
WYC
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
RUS
1 - 0
NOT
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
GRI
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |