Lincoln City vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EXE
1 - 1
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 1
LIN
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 1
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
TRA
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 3
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |