FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-3
Lincoln City vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 2
WYC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
TRA
2 - 1
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LEY
1 - 1
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
MKD
1 - 1
ROT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 1
MKD
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
MKD
3 - 2
EXE
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MKD
0 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 1
MKD
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |