Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
TOW
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 3
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 4
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 0
MAN
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 3
MAN
7%
14%
79%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |